Sunday, 16 August 2026

Why percentages getting each grade differ between A level subjects, including French, German and Spanish

 

Thanks to David Blow, ALL Fellow,  for sharing this pdf document explaining why percentages getting each grade differ between A level subjects, including French, German and Spanish.  The explanation draws on Transition Matrices  relating to the A Levels taken in 2025. 

This information is published alongside the official DfE figures, so the 2026 information will be available late Autumn / early Spring.

https://drive.google.com/file/d/1xFt_uKwnaGyRPsuhqrPF29bIGMWW72qe/view?usp=sharing


Page 1 of the 4 page document is pasted below:

DfE 16-18 Transition Matrices 2025

https://department-for-education.shinyapps.io/ks5-transition-matrices/

 The DfE transition matrices (TMs) tell you for the starting average GCSE prior-attainment band of students how many nationally gained each grade.   For example, in French, for an average GCSE score between 8 and 9, there were 1,689 candidates, of whom 466 obtained a grade A*, 769 obtained a grade A, etc. Note the left-hand column of candidates with unknown prior GCSE attainment, which is excluded from “prior” attainment columns on the right.

 The TMs for French, German and Spanish are shown below, first as numbers of candidates, and then as percentages getting each AL grade for a given GCSE prior attainment.

 Comparison of subjects

Different prior attainment

 

GCSE prior

Unknown prior

<1

1-<2

2-<3

3-<4

4-<5

5-<6

6-<7

7-<8

8-<9

9>=

All

French

3%

0%

0%

0%

0%

4%

12%

23%

26%

27%

4%

100%

German

5%

0%

0%

0%

1%

4%

9%

20%

26%

30%

5%

100%

Spanish

3%

0%

0%

0%

1%

6%

18%

25%

24%

20%

3%

100%

 We can see that, for GCSE prior attainment 6 and below, French has 16% and German 14% whereas Spanish has 25%.  This indicates an intake for Spanish skewed towards lower prior attainment. 

Similarly, for GCSE prior attainment of 8 and above, French has 31%, German 35%, Spanish has 23%, showing that Spanish has fewer candidates with high prior attainment.

 AL grades similar for each GCSE prior attainment

Looking at the percentages getting each AL grade for a given GCSE prior attainment band, it is clear that the percentages are very similar across the three languages. For example, for GCSE prior attainment between 8 and 9,  the percentage getting A* is 28, 29 and 27 in Fr., Gn and Sp. respectively

 

 

Fr

Gn

Sp

 

8-<9

8-<9

8-<9

A*

28

29

27

A

46

47

46

B

21

19

24

C

5

5

3

D

1

0

0

E

0

0

0

U

0

0

0

 

8-<9

8-<9

8-<9

 

100

100

100

 See pdf document for full article and graphs.

 

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